Clots and vaccines | Ferniglab Weblog

Blood clots, for instance, deep vein thromboses or pulmonary embolisms, are severe and we must always rightly be involved about these. With ~ 17 M doses of the AZ vaccine delivered into folks, we now have studies of 15 circumstances of deep vein thrombosis and 22 circumstances of pulmonary embolism. Deep vein thrombosis happens at price of 0.1% (so 1 in 1000) throughout all age teams, rising with age. So day-after-day meaning round 47 circumstances in a inhabitants of 17 million – in truth will probably be extra, as a result of these vaccinated aren’t consultant of the inhabitants, however an older phase.

If we take into account that vaccination has been taking place at a excessive price for just a little over 2 months, then we anticipate not less than 2,800 circumstances of deep vein thrombosis.

We are able to draw some restricted conclusions relating to clots, the AZ and different vaccines.

1. The reporting mechanism could also be very, very poor, and solely a fraction of affected person outcomes are reported. That is in stark distinction to a scientific trial, the place ALL outcomes re reported – recall that one poor particular person on the Pfizer/BioNT trial was killed by a lightening strike, and within the AZ trial there have been 2 deaths within the vaccination group and 4 within the placebo group. These and different deaths have been unrelated to the vaccine.

Selective reporting results in fantasy.

2. Reporting shouldn’t be so poor, so the correlation is that vaccination protects in opposition to thrombosis. With out realizing the standard of reporting of antagonistic results and the chance {that a} good many clinicians will take into account many situations in vaccinated sufferers to be unrelated to the vaccine, this intriguing risk stays a risk and no extra.
3. “Clot”, not less than for UK audio system of English has a second which means, akin to the US ‘blockhead’. It could be that the AZ vaccine prompts clots in authorities.

At current the most definitely causal relation is (3). It’s because we now have ample proof impartial of vaccination programmes that reveal an usually increased focus of clots in authorities and within the higher reaches of many greasy poles than one would anticipate have been altitude to correlate not directly with potential.

Be aware: H/T @archer_rs who jogged my memory that the one vaccine that’s non-profit is the AZ vaccine. The historical past of medication teaches us that the revenue motive results in hiding actual and severe antagonistic occasions.